Wednesday, 13 November 2013

Reflection on Greg Craven's logic


After watching the video of Greg's logic i think that in my opinion it simplifies the way to decide what to decide if a problem arises. this logic is very good and it is also used by businesses to solve conflicts. in this video Greg chooses option "A" over option "B" because he thinks that if we choose option "B" and do not take any step to prevent the disaster and it takes place then it might be a catastrophic disaster which may cost many lives. he says we can use the money to prevent and then it happens rather that not spending money and it happens.

however because there is a 50 - 50 chance for the disaster to happen or not to happen , if they spend the money and it happens then well and good but if it does not happen then million's and million's of dollars are wasted which money could be used on something else like education , food , poverty etc 

he logic of Greg's theory is that it gives you possibilities example;
when there is an attack in East African Countries by Terrorist group called Al-Shabab then the rest of the world  is adivsied not to travel to those countries this could be a disaster to the country because there will be a crisis in there tourism industry.

Al -shabab Attacking East Africa
Going to East African Countries
Not Going to East African Countries
Attack happens
Losing their lives.
Saved their lives from the attack by not traveling to East Africa.
Attack Does not happen
Enjoying their holidays and the beauty of East Africa.
Spoiling their holidays and not getting a chance to visit the beauty of East Africa .